• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer
Live the Flagstaff Life

Live the Flagstaff Life

Flagstaff Lifestyle and Real Estate

  • Homepage
  • Blog
  • Flagstaff Events
  • Get Started
    • Buyers
    • Request a Buyer’s Guide
    • Request a Seller’s Guide
    • Instant Home Value
  • Vacation Rentals
  • About Me
    • An Interview With Katannya
    • Contact
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms and Conditions

Uncertainty Abounds in the Search for Economic Recovery Timetable

April 23, 2020 by Katannya Hartwell Leave a Comment

Share
Email
Share
Pin
Tweet

Earlier this week, we discussed how most projections from financial institutions are calling for a quick V-shaped recovery from this economic downturn, and there’s research on previous post-pandemic recoveries to support that expectation.

In addition, we noted how there are some in the business community who believe we may instead be headed for a U-shaped recovery, where the return to previous levels of economic success won’t occur until the middle of next year. Yesterday, Reuters released a poll of U.S. and European economists which revealed that most surveyed are now leaning more toward a U-shaped recovery.

Here are the results of that poll:Uncertainty Abounds in the Search for Economic Recovery Timetable | Simplifying The Market

Why the disparity in thinking among different groups of economic experts?

The current situation makes it extremely difficult to project the future of the economy. Analysts normally look at economic data and compare it to previous slowdowns to create their projections. This situation, however, is anything but normal.

Today, analysts must incorporate data from three different sciences into their recovery equation:

1. Business Science – How has the economy rebounded from similar slowdowns in the past?

2. Health Science – When will COVID-19 be under control? Will there be another flareup of the virus this fall?

3. Social Science – After businesses are fully operational, how long will it take American consumers to return to normal consumption patterns? (Ex: going to the movies, attending a sporting event, or flying).

The challenge of accurately combining the three sciences into a single projection has created uncertainty, and it has led to a wide range of opinions on the timing of the recovery.

Bottom Line

Right now, the vast majority of economists and analysts believe a full recovery will take anywhere from 6-18 months. No one truly knows the exact timetable, but it will be coming.

Filed Under: Real Estate Tagged With: Flagstaff Az Realtor, Flagstaff Realtor, Real Estate in Flagstaff Arizona, Real Estate in Flagstaff Az

Reader Interactions

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Primary Sidebar

Stay Up To Date

Sign up to receive free market updates from Live the Flagstaff Life

Search

Footer

Katannya Hartwell
REALTOR®

Connect with me on:

  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • The Kingswood
  • Flagstaff Golf Communities

Copyright © 2023 · Agent Focused Pro by Winning Agent · Log in

Village Land Shoppe | Privacy Policy | Terms of Conditions